Gulf oil spill

On April 20, 2010 BP's Deepwater Horizon rig exploded and sank, killing 11 workers and starting the largest oil spill ever. The well has been killed, but the long and arduous task of cleaning up the spill and monitoring its long-term impacts on fisheries, wildlife, and sensitive coastal ecosystems will likely take years.

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Does the world need more Mr. Spocks?

The Gulf oil spill is back in headlines this week. Yesterday, Kate Sheppard broke the news that the watchdog group PEER (Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility) has uncovered emails that suggest White House communications officials and one of the lead scientists on the government-appointed science panel deliberately low-balled estimates of the spill’s size. As Sheppard tells Countdown guest host David Shuster in the video below, getting that number right is important because it determines how much BP might be fined for the spill.

But there are also broader ramifications for the communication and public understanding of science. The underestimates repeatedly put forward by government officials undermined public trust and prompted a number of scientists to become vocal about their dissenting science, often using non-traditional outlets – blogs and self-published reports, rather than peer-reviewed journals – to get the word out. Disagreements about the actual numbers were accompanied by heated debates over the validity of unreviewed results and the appropriate way to disseminate scientific information. The public bickering between different research groups dismayed many scientists, who felt it misrepresented to the world the way the scientific community usually works.

Star Trek

Sadly, Kate Sheppard says she doesn’t get the impression many lessons were learned from the whole debacle. But that may be a touch overly pessimistic. In a complete coincidence, Wired.com ran an op-ed late last week by Dr. Chris Reddy, a chemist at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution who studies oil spills and was intimately involved in both academic and government responses to the Gulf oil spill. Reddy is the ultimate media-savvy scientist, but he says that he has learned some tough lessons from his experiences trying to communicate oil spill science. In the end, Reddy has found a mentor in perhaps one of the best-known scientists of all time – Star Trek’s Dr. Mr. Spock. (An astute commenter pointed out that I mistakenly ascribed a Ph.D. to Spock.)

while Spock is mocked for his cool, dispassionate presentation of his thoughts, I’ve come to realize that this attitude is exactly what you want from a scientist during a crisis, whether it’s a massive oil spill or a long-term threat like climate change.

What people miss even more about Spock is that, beneath it all, he is one of the most emotional and passionate characters on the program.

Not buying it? Here’s Reddy’s argument:

Spock is more passionate about science than Dr. McCoy is about medicine or Mr. Scott is about the Enterprise. Watch any episode and you can see Spock’s intensity when he investigates whether there is life on a planet or if the Enterprise will explode. The deal is: Spock is passionate about doing science, but — and perhaps this is where the disconnect occurs — dispassionate about presenting what the data tell him.

Keeping one’s cool, regardless of impending doom and panicked questioners, is a skill that Reddy says he wishes could have mustered more of when talking to reporters about his work on the Gulf oil spill.

Gulf oil spill anniversary: Too soon to tell

Chris Reddy is an ocean chemist who studies oil spills and other environmental pollutants. He has been intensely involved in research on the Gulf oil spill, making several trips to the region and spending time at Central Command as a science liaison. He was part of the team that confirmed the presence of large quantities of oil from the BP rig deep underwater. His commentaries on scientist-media relations have also appeared here on Climatide.

So, of course, when I ran into him at a local coffee shop on Monday, I asked him how he was feeling about the upcoming anniversary of the spill. Now Chris doesn’t mince words. But I was surprised at the frustration I heard in his response. He felt strongly that the media and the general public were missing the point of the day. He later forwarded me a copy of an op-ed piece on the topic that ran in today’s Providence Journal. Eloquent as it was, I still had some questions for Chris. Here’s a lightly edited version of our conversation.

You say the anniversary of the explosion of the Deepwater Horizon oil rig is “just another day” for scientists and that its importance is being overplayed. Why?

The anniversary is important, don’t get me wrong. But I’m a little bit frustrated. The anniversary should be a day of mourning. I think there’s some decorum that’s lacking when environmental groups are having fairs on the anniversary of the spill. I think they’re taking advantage of the deaths of people to push their agenda. I met a lot of people in the Gulf and I know what they went through during the spill, and I don’t know that some of those groups fully appreciate that human dimension.

But isn’t the anniversary an opportunity to refocus public attention on the event and reflect on what we’ve learned about the impacts of the oil spill?

Everybody wants to know an answer. How many birds and dolphins has the oil spill killed? But this anniversary isn’t like a 16th birthday when you know you can get your driver’s license. When you turn one from an oil spill, it doesn’t have any real significance.

I recognize people’s curiosity. And scientists are working hard. But it’s going to take time. In our world, the science world, there’s just no expectation that there’s a date when we’ll solve all the problems.

We have all these crime scene dramas and medical dramas on TV where data is available instantly, or within hours or days if they’re trying to be realistic. But we’re not going to have resolution in 42 minutes. If we did, it would be too easy. It’s just hard. The Gulf is huge, and we can’t put it in an MRI and see where the oil is and what it’s doing. And this isn’t just one patient; we’re talking about millions and millions and millions of patients, and despite all our efforts we’re missing some or haven’t had time to work through them all yet.

You’ve been to the Gulf several times since the spill, including quite recently. How much oil is still left in and around the Gulf?

The problem is that what I did, and what others did, it’s cherry-picking. We may see oil one place so we say, “Oil’s still there.” But how much oil? Does it matter?

Again, to use the medical analogy: you can’t put the Gulf in an MRI. So the only thing we can do is collect lots of samples. And for this patient, the bloodwork isn’t back yet. We’re talking tens of thousands of samples that have been collected over the past year that have to go through an array of tests and quality controls. So the question is: when do you have enough information to start to tell a story prudently?

Unfortunately, we don’t have the data yet to say “of the hundreds of miles of coast and waters that we’ve surveyed, there is oil at levels of concern over this percentage of the area.” That’s a much more robust result than “we can still see oil here.”

What sort of timescale would be more appropriate? Can we expect to answer some of these questions by the five-year anniversary?

That’s hard. From a chemistry perspective, I think you’ll start to see some reasonable estimates in another year or two. In terms of biological impacts, there’s natural variability and other stressors to take into account. So collectively it’s really hard to get a handle on things and to prove that any changes are due to an oil spill in an area that was already less than pristine.

Not only is it going to be hard to get the data, then someone – or a group of scientists – are going to have to sit down and look at it, think about it, and maybe have some heated discussions about it. There may or may not be a consensus interpretation right away.

You say we don’t have enough information to tell a story responsibly. But some scientists have been saying publicly that there’s oil left and it’s hurting marine life in the Gulf.

There’s a lot of data that’s been presented at conferences or posted on blogs, but until I see it published – peer review doesn’t mean 100% accuracy – but that’s what I’m waiting for so I can examine the data and make my own conclusions. Blogs and posters have some value, but at the end of the day there needs to be a higher level of scrutiny. And I have yet to see that for a lot of things. But that’s because doing the science and writing the papers takes time.

Is there financial support for the kind of ongoing research you’re talking about?

No. Well, yes and no. The only financial support I’ve gotten was a RAPID response grant from the National Science Foundation in May. We’re still working through the data and writing papers, but it’s mostly on our own dime. Certainly, if you get a RAPID response grant, the National Science Foundation will consider a larger follow-up grant, and I’ll be submitting one on August 15th.

But it’s tricky. And it takes time. You have to find the right person to fund your work, and wait for them to request proposals, and then write the proposal. It’s not batting practice, with lots of pitches right down the plate. It’s a baseball game. There are only so many pitches, and few that are in your sweet spot. When there’s a pitch, you’ve got to go for it. And there are a lot of people going for those funds.

What’s happening is that BP has a significant amount of money to dole out for no-strings-attached research through the Gulf Research Initiative. And we expect to get the request for proposals any time now. Once that request comes out, we may see other groups, even federal agencies, respond. But everything is in kind of a holding pattern right now. It’s still not clear how that money will be allocated, so everybody’s waiting.

When it comes to science, there are three things people don’t want to hear: We’re not quite sure. We need more data. We need more funding. But that’s where we are right now.

Gulf oil spill: Humility in face of scientific mysteries

Chris Reddy is a senior scientist and the director of the Coastal Ocean Institute at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. He has been intensely involved in research on the Gulf oil spill, making several trips to the region and spending time at Central Command as a science liaison.
The following editorial is reproduced in full with permission from the Providence Journal.


One year ago today, a blowout at the Macondo well, in the Gulf of Mexico, resulted in 11 fatalities aboard the Deepwater Horizon drilling rig and the release of an estimated 170 million gallons of oil over three months.

U.S. Coast Guard

The Deepwater Horizon oil rig exploded on April 20, 2010 - killing eleven workers and causing the largest oil spill in U.S. history.

As an oil-spill scientist, I quickly found myself in the middle of the disaster, doing research, testifying in Congress and providing dozens of media interviews. What I learned was that the most heavily affected species of the spill were the people of the Gulf, who lived through the economic hardships and continuing uncertainties of the health and future of that body of water tied so closely to
their lives.

Today should be a day of mourning and reflection for the loss of life and livelihoods and for the difficulties that, for many people, have no clear ending.

I also learned how little most people know about how science works. During the past several weeks, I have received requests from the news media to comment on the first anniversary and the effect of the spill. I have dutifully responded that much research remains and that it would be imprudent to make any predictions about the long-term impacts of the spill.

Much more data are needed.

Continue reading

Gulf oil spill: one year later

Wednesday marks the one-year anniversary of the explosion of the Deepwater Horizon oil rig and the beginning of the biggest oil spill in U.S. history. WCAI’s Mindy Todd sat down for a conversation about observing and studying the impact of the Gulf oil spill with Rob Munier, Vice President for Marine Operations and Facilities at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution; Christopher Reddy, Associate Scientist in the Marine Chemistry & Geochemistry Department at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution; and nature writer David Gessner who traveled to the Gulf to write about the impact the spill had on birds for the Natural Resources Defense Council.

Gulf oil spill in bad company

A list of the worst eco-tastrophes of all time points out that the Gulf oil spill may be the largest oil spill in U.S. history, but the world has seen worse:

Marine oil spills are much more devastating than those on land, as they spread rapidly, covering vast areas, and are difficult to clean up.

NASA Earth Observatory

The Deepwater Horizon rig spewed over 4 million barrels of oil into the Gulf of Mexico.

Following the invasion of Kuwait in 1991, the retreating Iraqi Armed Guard purposely pumped around eight million barrels of oil into the Persian Gulf in an attempt to prevent US marines from making landfall – it was the largest ever oil spill at sea, with a 12-cm deep slick covering an area 162km by 67km across.

1979′s Ixtoc I exploratory well oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico spilt around three million barrels, slightly less than the Deepwater Horizon spill, but it went on for 10 months, creating a persistent slick that covered half of the Texan coastline and washed up on the breeding beaches of the endangered Kemp’s Ridley turtle.

Gulf recovery prediction “not based on data”

flickr/neworleanslady

An oil boom intended to protect a Louisiana marsh from oil washed ashore from the Deepwater Horizon spill.

A report released last week on the expected recovery of the Gulf of Mexico following the Deepwater Horizon oil spill is drawing harsh criticism from scientists who say there’s no science to support speculation that most Gulf ecosystems should recover by 2012. As ScienceInsider‘s Eli Kintisch reports, even the report’s author – marine biologist Wes Tunnell of Texas A&M University – doesn’t dispute the claim.

The studies that could provide data on actual impacts on the four species Tunnell was asked to look at are simply not yet available, he acknowledges. “I did the best I could. … It’s an expert opinion not based on data but based on 35 years of experience working with oil spills,” says Tunnell. …

The inclusion of plenty of caveats—”the true loss to the ecosystem and fisheries may not be accurately known for years, or even decades,” for example—has not mollified the critics. Yes, they say, the report points out correctly that damaged ecosystems in warm water tend to recover faster than those harmed in cold water, among other mitigating factors. But it’s too early to know for sure, says Charles “Pete” Peterson of the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill: “There are studies under way that will test these assumptions.” “These kinds of indirect effects are not sufficiently pursued in this crystal-ball gazing exercize,” says marine biologist Steve Otwell of the University of Florida in Gainesville.

The report was commissioned by Kenneth Feinberg, the administrator of the $20 billion compensation fund. Based on the prediction that most commercially exploited species will have recovered by 2012, Feinberg has proposed paying affected individuals or companies “twice their documented 2010 losses, roughly 2 years’ worth of impact.” Oyster fishers could be eligible for four years’ compensation.

Tracing the Gulf oil spill, one molecule at a time

Jack Cook/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

Oil and water don't mix. Or do they? Oil is a complex mixture of chemicals with different properties and behaviors. Some components will dissolve in water naturally. In theory, chemical dispersants break oil that would normally form slicks into tiny droplets that can mix with water. In reality, that process was less than 100% successful.

The Gulf oil spill was record-breaking in many regards, few of them good. In order to prevent the world’s largest oil spill from creating the world’s largest oil slicks, officials injected an unprecedented amount – nearly 800,000 gallons – of the chemical dispersant, Correxit, near the gushing well head. But even 800,000 gallons pales in comparison to the volume of water in the Gulf of Mexico. So how did WHOI’s Liz Kujawinski and her colleagues find traces of Correxit in the Gulf of Mexico months after it was injected deep underwater? Kate Madin and Joel Greenberg explain:

Kujawinski brought into play a device with a powerful 7-tesla magnet (seven times stronger than the average MRI) and an intimidating name: a Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometer, or FT-ICR-MS. It can detect and measure vanishingly tiny amounts of an individual compound in a mixture containing tens of thousands of compounds.

Kujawinski and colleagues’ method is 1,000 times more sensitive than that used by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to track Corexit and could be used to monitor the dispersant over longer time and distances, she said. As such, it provides a means to answer some key questions: What happened to the approximately 800,000 gallons of the dispersant released in the deep sea? Was it effective? Might it have impacts on the environment, deep-sea coral communities, and deepwater fish such as tuna?

Because the oil and the dispersant entered the water column at such depth, they haven’t necessarily behaved in the way expected based on past experiences with surface spills. Figuring out which components of the oil went where is a key step toward understanding the spill’s ecological impacts. The new research gives scientists another way to track the spill, something Kujawinski says they could be doing for months or years to come.

(Ocean) Science Friday

Last Friday, NPR’s Science Friday broadcast live from the Our Changing Oceans conference hosted by the National Council for Science and the Environment. It was two straight hours of ocean science. As you might imagine, I was in listening heaven. In case you missed it (or want to hear it again):

Oil spill commission: we are all to blame

U.S. Coast Guard

The Deepwater Horizon oil rig exploded on April 20, 2010 - killing eleven workers and causing the largest oil spill in U.S. history.

Wow. A government report that is well-written (in English, not legalese) and insightful, written with the biggest possible picture in mind. The National Commission’s final report on the Gulf oil spill is at treat to read. I highly recommend taking in at least the introductory letter, which I draw on heavily here.

The report, of course, details what we now know of the events leading up to and following immediately after the explosion of the Deepwater Horizon oil rig on April 20, 2010. It assigns liability and offers recommendations for enhanced oversight, increased safety, and improved disaster readiness. But what left the deepest impression on me was the Commission’s broader perspective on the Deepwater Horizon disaster.

The tremendous resources that exist within our outer continental shelf belong to the nation as a whole… To be allowed to drill on the outer continental shelf is a privilege to be earned, not a … right to be exercised.

The Deepwater Horizon was drilling the Macondo well under 5,000 feet of Gulf water, and then over 13,000 feet under the sea floor to the hydrocarbon reservoir below. It is a complex, even dazzling, enterprise. The remarkable advances that have propelled the move to deepwater drilling merit comparison with exploring outer space. The Commission is respectful and admiring of the industry’s technological capability.

Of course, extreme risk is the handmaiden of such advanced technological endeavors. The report lays the bulk of the blame for this particular tragedy in the laps of those immediately involved – BP, Transocean, Haliburton, and government overseers. But the Commission makes it clear that no American is innocent in this affair.

Why was a corporation drilling for oil in mile-deep water 49 miles off the Louisiana coast? To begin, Americans today consume vast amounts of petroleum products—some 18.7 million barrels per day—to fuel our economy. Unlike many other oil-producing countries, the United States relies on private industry—not a state-owned or -controlled enterprise—to supply oil, natural gas, and indeed all of our energy resources. This basic trait of our private-enterprise system has major implications for how the U.S. government oversees and regulates offshore drilling.

The Commission also calls Americans to task for failing to acknowledge and internalize the risks and damages inherent in their fossil fuel usage.

Indeed, the centrality of oil and gas exploration to the Gulf economy is not widely appreciated by many Americans, who enjoy the benefits of the energy essential to their transportation, but bear none of the direct risks of its production. Within the Gulf region, however, the role of the energy industry is well understood and accepted. The notion of clashing interests—of energy extraction versus a natural-resource economy with bountiful fisheries and tourist amenities—misses the extent to which the energy industry is woven into the fabric of the Gulf culture and economy, providing thousands of jobs and essential public revenues. Any discussion of the future of offshore drilling cannot ignore these economic realities.

“Scientific understanding of environmental conditions in sensitive environments in deep Gulf waters, along the region’s coastal habitats, and in areas proposed for more drilling, such as the Arctic, is inadequate. The same is true of the human and natural impacts of oil spills.”

But those benefits have imposed their costs. The bayous and wetlands of Louisiana have for decades suffered from destructive alteration to accommodate oil exploration. The Gulf ecosystem, a unique American asset, is likely to continue silently washing away unless decisive action is taken to start the work of creating a sustainably healthy and productive landscape. No one should be deluded that restoration on the scale required will occur quickly or cheaply.

We advocate beginning such an effort, seriously and soon, as a suitable response to the damage and disruption caused by the Deepwater Horizon emergency. It is a fair recognition not only of the costs that energy exploitation in the Gulf has, for decades, imposed on the landscape and habitats—and the other economic activities they support—but also of the certainty that Americans will continue to develop the region’s offshore energy resources.

For the simple fact is that the bulk of our newly discovered petroleum reserves, and the best prospects for future discoveries, lie not on land, but under water. To date, we have
made the decision as a nation to exploit the Gulf’s offshore energy resources—ruling much of the Florida, Atlantic, and Pacific coasts out of bounds for drilling. The choice of how aggressively to exploit these resources, wherever they may be found, has profound implications for the future of U.S. energy policy, for our need to understand and assure the integrity of fragile environmental resources, and for the way Americans think about our economy and our security. Although much work is being done to improve the fuel- efficiency of vehicles and to develop alternative fuels, we cannot realistically walk away from these offshore oil resources in the near future. So we must be much better prepared to exploit such resources with far greater care.

‘Nuff said.

With efforts to investigate the aftermath of the Gulf oil spill hampered by weather, ecologist and author Carl Safina and ocean explorer and champion Sylvia Earle take a few minutes to talk about the impacts and implications of the nation’s largest oil spill.